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Global Warming In A Climate Of Ignorance

"As for the promised control of nature, it is in rout before nature unleashed." --Jacques Barzun, Science: the glorious entertainment

"Next we come to a question that everyone, scientist and non-scientist alike, must have asked at some time. What is man's place in the Universe?" --Fred Hoyle, The Nature of the Universe

By Wallace Thornhill,
February 21,2007

Global warming has been deemed a fact. However, the inconvenient truth is that humans are not causing it. Al Gore has been given poor advice. Like Darwin's theory of evolution and Big Bang cosmology, global warming by greenhouse gas emissions has undergone that curious social process in which a scientific theory is promoted to a secular myth. When in fact, science is ignorant about the source of the heat -- the Sun.

The really inconvenient truth is that we cannot control Nature. But we can begin to learn our true place in the Universe and figure out how to cope rationally with inevitable change. Clearly, reducing air pollution is an admirable goal in itself. But we must not be deluded into thinking it will affect climate significantly. The connection between warming and atmospheric pollution is more asserted than demonstrated, while the connection with variations in the Sun has been demonstrated.

The Sun is undergoing a power surge

Since the late 1970s, three Sun-watching satellites recorded surprising changes in heat, ultraviolet radiation, and solar wind. Dr. Sam Solanski, director of the renowned Max Planck Institute for Solar System Research, said, "The Sun has been at its strongest over the past 60 years and may now be affecting global temperatures." "The Sun is in a changed state. It is brighter than it was...." Dr. Solanski admitted to not knowing what is causing the Sun to burn brighter. A leading authority, Eugene N. Parker, adds, "...we really do not properly understand the physics of the varying luminosity of the Sun." This highlights the fundamental problem with the global warming verdict from climate experts. It is based on profound ignorance about how the Sun really "ticks" and what forms of energy are input to a planet's climate. For this they can blame astrophysicists.

Although the historical climate records tie climate to variations in the Sun's output, the solar variation is considered too small to have much effect on global warming. As John Gribbin wrote in New Scientist, "Statistical evidence links changes in our weather to changing solar activity. But no one has ever come up with a convincing explanation of how the link works." "The puzzle is that the overall brightness of the Sun varies by less than 0.1 per cent during the 11-year cycle, too little to explain the observed changes in the weather." Slowly, the consensus has shifted politically in favour of this view.

A recent report concedes that there could be more influential effects on the climate, such as cosmic rays causing cloudiness, or ultraviolet radiation affecting the ozone layer. These factors change more markedly during the solar cycle. But are these merely more side effects of solar variability and not the real cause?

As for warming caused by mankind's production of so-called "greenhouse gases," Professor Nils-Axel Mörner wrote in a submission to the UK parliament on global warming, "The driving idea is that there is a linear relationship between CO2 increase in the atmosphere and global temperature. The fact, however, is that temperature has constantly gone up and down. From 1850 to 1970, we see an almost linear relationship with Solar variability; not CO2. For the last 30 years, our data sets are so contaminated by personal interpretations and personal choices that it is almost impossible to sort up the mess in reliable and unreliable data."

Underlying the bogeyman of the global greenhouse is the belief that something went wrong on our sister planet, Venus, and a "runaway greenhouse effect" occurred, turning it into a furnace hot enough to melt some metals. It is another of the secular myths of our age. In "Venus isn't our twin!" I wrote, "Comparisons with the Earth will lead nowhere. Nothing 'went wrong' on Venus or 'went right' on Earth. The two planets are not the same age and are only distantly related. There is no message for us from the study of Venus for an imagined evolution of Earth's climate into a 'hothouse.'"


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